The Economy Now: Understanding the Latest Numbers
If you follow current events, read the newspaper, or watch the nightly news (and if you don’t I will give them to you here) you hear all sorts of numbers regarding the economy from unemployment, inflation, GDP, etc. What do they all mean for the economy going forward?
First lets look at some of the numbers:
Inflation: 3.3% through November 2011 (using the CPI)
Unemployment: 8.5% through December 2011
GDP Growth: 1.8% in Quarter 3
Unemployment
We have seen unemployment fall from 9.1% in July to 8.5% in December. Though it is encouraging to see the unemployment rate fall slightly, 8.5% is still a very high number. It is difficult to say if this drop in the unemployment rate is due to seasonal hiring for the holiday season or if people continue to leave the labor force. The following graph shows labor force participation and you can see the decline in the last 2 years…








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